A Study of A Sample of Buy
B17s
in 2014 on
Biotechs
Tiger Buy B17 - Sudden Rise in "IP21",
TigerSoft's Accumulation Index
I spoke today with a former stock broker who has been a regular Tiger customer
and Hotline subscriber for more than thirty years. As the manager of a large
office of stock brokers, his words were most important. His view is that if
someone really wants to make a lot of money in the stock market, he or
she should concentrate on individual stocks. Peerless is great he says,
but we should also be looking for bulges of Insider Accumulation and watching
what Professionals are doing using the TigerSoft's charts.
I was pleased he said this, because I wanted to ask him about the value of
the new research I am doing for this Hotline on the Tiger Buy and Sell
(not Peerless) signals for individual stocks. He was glad to see it. It
would help others.
In this connection, I posted research this weekend of Tiger Buy B19s -
relentless upward momentum signal. I showed that certain accompanying
key values gave these B19s success rates of 80% or higher.
Tonight, I want to post the preliminary results for Tiger Buy B17s -
sudden increases in Accumulation (IP21). You can see the sampling
methodology I used. The success rate here also is close to 80%,
especially, when the Buy B17 occurs while the stock appears to
be innocently sitting in a base. To show this, I want to make a list tonight
of the B17s in the past 11 months with biotechs. I will just go through
the biotechs we have on our data page and show the first 25 B17s.
Sampling this many cases gives us a reliable result. You can readily produce
the B17s exactly like I show here using the commands:
PEERCOMM + Charts-2014 + Daily Stocks + All Stks + Signals1 +
Display User Selected TigerSoft Signal + enter B17 + OK + 2 (right side
of keyboard to go to next stock. Num-lock must be OFF.)
Table 1
Buy B17s in Biotechs:
November - August 2014
la/ma 21-dma
Price
Next Low
Next High
ROC
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACAD
4/23/2014 .941
-2.261
20.55
18.05
26.61 5 months later. Success
ACHN 11/22/2013
1.174
2.112 3.07
4.12 in six weeks. Success
ACOR 6/5/.2014
1.102 1.165 34.96
18.45
Loss
ACRX 11/13/2013
1.034 - .518
7.82
-------- 12.69 in two months
Success
ACST
11/27/2013 .688
-5.18 1.20
------- 1.50 in 6 weeks
Success
AEGR
1/8/2014 1.074
1.092
73.23 56.54
Loss
(At falling 65-dma resistance. Avoid these.)
AFFX
12/23/2913 1.066 1.414
8.85 7.90
9.75
Success
AFFY
12/27/2013 .946
-.142
0.79
-----
1.18 in 5
days Success
AGEN
12/11/2013 .993
.093 2.54
------
5.10 in 19
weeks Success
ALNY
5/19/2014 1.077
.972
58.26
------
70 in a month
Success
ALXN
12/23/2013 1.051
.921 130.90
------
183 in 2 months
Success
AMAG
1/15/2013 .988
-.123
22.99
19.97
Loss
(Just bekow 65-dma resistance. Avoid these.)
AMED
6/27/2014 1.247 2.404
17.46 15.49
22 in 5 weeks
Success
(Best to wait for a pullback and CP hook up when stock spikes up like this.)
AMGN 12/9/2013
1.000 .31
113.99
129 in 3 months Success
AMRI
12/23/2013 .959 -1.234
20.31
-------
2o in 3 months
Success
ANAC
12/9/2013 1.236 3.945
16.98
--------
22.75
Success
ANIK
11/27/2013 1.111 2.438
34.30 ---------
39. in 6 weeks
Success
AOLS
11/19/2013 1.015 -.134
0.27 ---------- .40 in
2 months
Success
APDN
11/12/2013 .935 -2.144
0.11
---------- 0.19
in one month Success
APH
4/28/2014 1.018
.506 94.73
.............. 104.9 in 5
months Success
ARIA 1/28/2014
1.146 1.777
8.04 6.88
9..23
n 3 weeks Success
(Dangerous because IP21 was -.074 with stock 14.6% over 21-dma)
ARNA 1/15/2014
1.224 3.536
7.31 6.0
(7.97)
Success
(Just below 65-dma resistance. Avoid these.)
ARQL 2/19/2014
.96 -1.535
2.22
1.30
Loss
ARRY 12/2/2014
1.065 1.694
7.31 5.80
Loss
(Just below 65-dma resistance. Avoid these.)
ARWR 7/31/2014 1.058 -.933
12.65 ----
15.90
Success
ASTM 11/29/2013 1.198
2.283
4.35 (.3.4)
6.9
Success
ASTM 8/14/2014 1.023 .146
3.34
4.2
Success
AVEO 2/19/2014 1.040 1.694
1.85
1.1
Loss
AVXL 1/22/2014 1.274 4.804
0.37
0.60
Success
AVY 2/10/2014 .988 -.196
49.06
52.05 Trading range 6 months.
BBH 12/9/2014 1.027 1.253
87.01
106
Success
BCLI 1/2/2014 1.20 1.133
0.19
0.37
Success
BCRX 12/17/2013 1.09 1.532
6.48
12.0 in 1 month
Success
BDSI 11/21/2014 .924 -1.933
4.46
10.0 in 3
months Success
BDSI 8/5/2014 .972 -.393
12.63
16.5 in 1 month
Success
BHRT 11/20/2014 .951 0
.01
.08 in 4 months
Success
BIB 1/10/2014 1.134 2.002
166.72
188
Success
BIOF 11/12/2014 1.78 .60 ------
1.78
9 in 6 months
Success
BIOF 7/11/2014 .92 -2.247
6.23
13.0 in 6 weeks
Success
BMRN 12/26/2013 1.005 -.151
69.73
84 om 2 months
Success
BOTA 11/12/2013 .998 .122 ------
3.90
7 in 3 months
Success
BSTC 1/17/2013 1.1 1.34
------- 24.35
27.8 in 2 months
Success
BTX 12/2/2014 1.079 1.637 --------
4.12 3.3
Loss
CBLI 12/6/2013 .906 -1.222
1.23 1.00
Loss
CBM 4/23/2014 1.11 2.363
22.14 17.6
Loss
CRRX 3/17/2014 1.065 1.334
7.45
Loss
CCXI 1/6/2014 1.11 1.978
6.06
8.2 in 10 weeks
Success
CDXS 1/6/2014 1.054 .26
1.45
2.25 in 10 weeks
Success
CELG 4/30/2014 1.032 .621
73.51
96 in 4 months
Success
CEMP 12/23/2014 1.029 .609
13.10
15 in one month
Success
CERS 1./3/2014 1.085 .371
6.63
7.9 in 6 weeks
Success
CGEN 11.26/2014 1.015 -.071
10.20 8.0
14.25 in 4
months
Loss
(This B17 took place with stock at falling 65-dma)
CLDX 1/14/2014 1.161 2.74
27.65
33.0 in 6 weeks
Success
CLVS 12/2/2013 1.165 2.643 -----
62.99 51
92 in 4
months
Loss
(Waiting for the next CP hook up would have worked well here.)
CMXI 12/2/2013 1.352 4.318 ------
.55
.67 in three days
Success
CORT 11/15/2013 1.104 1.516 -----
1.92
4.49 in 5 months
Success
CRIS 11/26/2013 1.031 -3.568 -----
2.50
3.6 in 6 days
Success
CRL 12/9/2013 1.023 .821
52.88
62 in 3 months
Success
CRMD 9/3/2013 .984 -.053
2.20
3.1 in 6 days
Success
CSBR 12/12/2013 1.193 3.196
1.26
1.62 in 1 month
Success
What do losses have in common?
For one thing, 6 of the 12 cases show a 21-day ANN-ROC between
1.09 and 1.70.
Table 2
Buy B17 Losses in Biotechs:
November - August 2014
la/ma 21-dma
Price
Next Low
Next High
ROC
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACOR
6/5/2014 1.102
1.165
34.96 18.45
Loss
AEGR
1/8/2014 1.074
1.092
73.23
56.54
Loss
(At falling 65-dma resistance. Avoid these.)
AMAG
1/15/2013 .988
-.123
22.99
19.97
Loss
(Just below 65-dma resistance. Avoid these.)
ARQL
2/19/2014
.96 -1.535
2.22
1.30
Loss
ARRY
12/2/2014
1.065 1.694 7.31
5.80
Loss
AVEO 2/19/2014
1.040 1.694 1.85
1.1
Loss
BTX 12/2/2014
1.079 1.637
4.12
3.3
Loss
CBLI 12/6/2013
.906
-1.222
1.23
1.00
Loss
CBM 4/23/2014
1.11
2.363 22.14
17.6
Loss
CRRX 3/17/2014 1.065
1.334
7.45
Loss
CGEN 11/26/2014 1.015
-.071
10.20
8.0 14.25 in 4 months
Loss
CLVS 12/2/2013 1.165
2.643
62.99
51 92 in 4 months
Loss
Additional Successes to atudy:
CTIC 12/17/2014 .908 -1.008 1.023 1.71
4.` in 6 weeks
CTIX (2 cases)
CUR (2 cases)
CURE (best to wait for CP to hook up at rising 65-dma)
CVM
CYTK
DNDN
DRTX (best to wait for CP to hook up at rising 65-dma)
(Just below 65-dma resistance. Avoid these.)
