| Buy B13: 1915-2009
Santa Claus |
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Peerless Santa Claus Rally, Buy B13: 1928-2009 12/17/28 270.2 +.066 Reverses a lone S12. DJI then reaches 320.
.961 .034 -38 -11 -.027 -518 .044 Negative internals at lower band are OK for a Buy
12/17/29 249.6 +.002 DJI falls to 230.90 before rallying.
1.014 1.572 81 -17 .137 101 .119
12/17/30 165.6 +.031 also B6
.926 -.988 -125 22 .034 -599 -.246 Negative internals at lower band are OK for a Buy
12/17/31 73.8 +.058 B13 is able to reverse a severe decline.
.833 -4.28 -242 027 -.285 -936 -.538 Negative internals at lower band are OK for a Buy
x 12/19/32 60.1 -.136 DJI fell below lower band and then rallied to 63.8 on 1/11/33
1.002 -.554 -62 -1 -.096 -160 -.097
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la/ma ma-roc P-Ind IP21 V-Ind. Opct
12/18/33 97.2 +.12
.974 -.215 -42 -36 -.226 -158 -.138 Negative internals at lower band are OK for a Buy
x 12/17/34 100.9 +.036
.993 .141 28 16 -.029 -7 .313
12/17/35 140.6 +.071
.98 -.472 -51 0 -.214 -303 -.01 Negative internals at lower band are OK for a Buy
x 12/17/36 180.8 +.048
.997 - .269 -54 -27 -.143 -264 -.202
x 12/17/37 124.9 +.034
1.014 -.251 -128 -7 -.131 -238 .085
x12/19/38 150.4 -.160 reached 154.90 on 1/4/39
1.009 -.191 -63 -21 -.118 -116 .05
X 12/18/39 149.2 +.014
1.005 -.16 -55 -22 -.10 -71 -.344
X 12/17/40 130.5 -.034
.993 -.461 -58 2 -.129 -95 -.158
12/17/41 109.4 +.044
.96 -.709 -76 -18 .004 -234 -.392 Negative internals at lower band are OK for a Buy
12/17/42 118.7 +.195
1.029 .434 23 40 .193 -2 .475
12/17/43 135.4 +.021
1.02 .467 69 26 .074 41 .37
12/18/44 151.5 +.083
1.019 .465 127 -22 .192 129 .477
12/17/45 190.4 +.046
.991 -.043 25 -53 .071 -34 .108
X 12/17/46 174.5 -.045 but on 2/10/47 DJI reached 183.60 and formed small H&S
1.026 .336 P=-42 9 .155 -52 .255
X 12/17/47 179.8 -.013 12/31/48 DJI = 181.20 Head and shoulders then developed.
1.0 -.04 P=-36 8 .072 -96 .088
X 12/17/48 175.9 no proximate Sell. Rally peaked on 1/7/49 with DJI at 181.20
1.004 -.014 P=-63 9 -.102 -137 -.061
12/19/49 198.2 +.086
1.019 .423 98 -26 .247 76 .167
12/18/50 231.0 >13% DJI peaked at 263.10 on 5/3/51 Next Peerless Sell was 8/3/51 @ 262.90
1.01 .109 108 32 .027 114 .156
12/17/51 265.8 +.032
1.013 .222 22 -4 .055 -41 .104
12/17/52 285.7 +.022
1.01 .472 130 -11 .174 120 .311
12/17/53 282.7 +.059
1.01 .375 43 17 .164 -18 .102
12/17/54 394.9 +.037
1.019 .468 114 4 .059 114 .255
X 12/19/55 481.8 +.02 but DJI only rallied to 488.40 on 12/30/55 and then fell back to 462,40on 1/23/56
.997 -.086 22 7 .059 -.148 -.035
X 12/17/56 493.8 > +.05 but DJI only rallied to 499.50 on 12/31/56 and then fell back to 454,80on 2/12/57
1.027 .337 P= -38 3 .059 IP21= -.002 -230 -.142
12/17/57 431.1 +.052 Here was a rare B13 at the lower band. Unusual.
.966 -.369 -27 -75 -.047 -200 .255 At lower band negative internals do not cancel B13
X 12/17/58 569.4 +.096
1.018 .043 17 -7 IP21= - .026 -203 .151
12/17/59 673.9 +.017
1.018 .679 28 -1 0 -142 .501
12/19/60 593.3 +.133
1.018 .264 51 4 .074 -72 .129
X 12/18/61 727.7 -.018 Rallied to well-tested flat resistance and then caved in.
.997 -.091 -44 -10 -.041 -435 -.029
12/17/62 645.5 +.086
1.001 .303 80 -12 .095 127 .293
X 12/17/63 766.4 > +20% Next Peerless Sell S8, 5/13/65 @ 938.9
1.023 .309 -47 11 -.012 -493 .226
12/17/64 863.6 +.087
.989 -.297 -119 5 -.138 -761 -.138 At lower band negative internals do not cancel B13
X 12/17/65 957.85 +.029
1.008 .016 18 11 -.002 6 .019
12/19/66 798.99 +.087
.995 -.252 -24 8 .027 1 -.108 (OPct by itself cannot cancel the B13)
12/18/67 881.65 +.03
1.002 .297 29 -34 .002 3 .231
12/17/68 970.91 -.036 Bear market starting THIS WOULD HAVE BROUGHT A LOSS.
.997 .082 75 -44 .047 12 .028 ELECTION YEAR B13s must be checked?
Other factors? Two years of computer stocks' bubble.
Republican taking over from a Democrat while at war.
12/17/69 769.93 +.052
.961 -1.074 -382 9 -.215 -4 -.402 At lower band, negative internals do not stop B13,
12/17/70 822.15 +.14
1.03 .923 221 13 .172 1 .532
12/17/71 873.8 +.079
1.039 .734 195 21 .07 1 .298
12/18/72 1013.25 +.034
.991 .111 -10 -55 .065 0 .102 At lower band, negative internals do not stop B13,
12/17/73 811.12 +.054
.978 -.907 -329 -5 -.099 -5 -.243 At lower band, negative internals do not stop B13
12/17/74 597.54 >40%. Next Peerless Sell on 7/1/75 @ 877.42
.992 -.986 -274 22 -.182 -3 -.098 Near lower band, negative internals do not stop B13
X 12/17/75 846.27 +.193
1.007 -.147 -111 2 -.027 -3 .074
12/17/76 979.06 +.017 Presidential Election Year - Change of Presidents.
1.019 .509 292 -28 .104 3 .276
12/19/77 807.95 -.018 This was in on-going bear market. Right shoulder in H&S.
Peak was 831.27 on 12/30/77
.981 -.345 -30 -27 -.063 -2 -.032 At lower band, negative internals do not stop B13
12/17/78 787.51 > +12% also Buy B9 - DJI rallied to 880.38 at time of next Sell.
.975 -.098 8 -91 -.007 -2 .038 At lower band, negative internals do not stop B13
12/17/79 844.62 +.024
1.021 .336 178 -14 .028 4 .159
12/17/80 928.5 +.048
.968 -.715 -272 32 -.066 -8 -.061 At lower band, negative internals do not stop B13
X 12/17/81 870.53 -.043
.994 .227 -28 -9 .03 -1 .252
X 12/17/82 928.5 +.059
.991 -.187 -38 -10 -.215 -6 -.177
12/19/83 1244.61 +.034
.985 -.063 -77 -21 -.051 -7 -.158 At lower band, negative internals do not stop B13
12/17/84 1176.79 >+15% next Peerless Sell was on 10/14/85 @ 1354.73
.991 -.294 -69 23 -.073 -5 -.099 At lower band, negative internals do not stop B13
12/17/85 1544.5 +.183
1.042 .882 176 -13 .10 14 .279
12/17/86 1918.13 +.161 Note how very positive the IP21 was. This cancels negative P-Indicator
1.004 .361 P= -99 -7 IP21= .184 -8 .107
X 12/17/87 1924.4 +.01
1.02 .014 -48 22 .085 -12 .197
12/19/88 2172.68 >+27% next Peerless Sell was on 10/4/89 @ 2771.09
1.029 .758 32 55 .234 12 .38
X 12/18/89 2697.53 .042
.995 .272 -36 -44 .073 -9 .096
12/17/90 2593.32 >+25% DJI fell to 2470.30 before rallying
next Peerless Sell was on 4/14/92 @ 3306.13
1.009 .224 56 -11 .117 4 .093
X 12/17/91 2902.28 .139
.998 -.167 -148 28 .014 -.23 -.182
12/17/92 3269.23 .11
.998 .276 121 34 .064 7 .136
12/17/93 3751.57 .058
1.011 .152 0 62 .05 -13 .348
12/19/94 3790.7 >+48% next Peerless Sell was on 2/27/96 @ 5549.21
1.015 .119 -131 18 .067 -33 OPct=-.082 (not significant)
12/18/95 5075.21 .093 next Peerless Sell was on 2/27/96 @ 5549.21
.993 .247 75 -108 .072 -11 .182
X 12/17/96 6308.33 .084
.982 -.074 P= -71 -4 .051 -37 .031
12/17/97 7957.41 .154
1.005 .39 76 -59 .019 -37 .143
12/17/98 8875.82 .075
.982 -.145 -116 22 .055 -45 .001 Near lower band, so B13 was allowed.
X 12/17/99 11257.43 .019 A simultaneous S12. Declined to 9800 3 months later.
1.014 .402 -465 50 -.041 -108 .107
X 12/18/00 10645.42 .021
1.005 -.012 60 58 -.052 -11 .009
12/17/01 9891.96 .023
.991 .024 56 26 .062 -97 - .061 (OPct not significant here,)
12/17/02 8535.39 .028
.985 -.06 142 -62 .006 -113 - .171 (OPct not significant here,)
12/17/03 10145.26 .058
1.028 .525 388 90 .048 9 .286
12/17/04 10649.52 .019
1.009 .113 220 -39 .102 -17 .212
X 12/19/05 10836.53 .068
.999 .128 172 -147 - .103 -16 -.08 If last Peerless signal was a Buy
the B13 is more likely going to be profitable.
12/18/06 12441.27 -.003
1.012 .131 234 -60 .039 234 -9 -.168 (OPct not significant here,)
X 12/17/07 13167.2 -.047 Note head and shoulders. Severe bear market follows.
.993 .051 -139 -11 -.021 -173 .227
x 12/17/08 8824.34 -.077 Peaked at 9034.69 on 1/2/2009. In severe bear market no B13s.
1.038 .773 162 102 .115 44 .237 See 1930, 1931, 1932, 1937
12/17/09 10308.26 Open
.991 -.148 140 -51 .015 -120 -.049 (OPct not significant here,)
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