1994-1995 
  
       We technicians understandably grow to believe that our world of charts and
technical indicators, supplemented with an understanding of Seasonality and the FED,
is sufficient to predict the stock market.  Most of the time it is.  But outside forces do
intrude from time to time.  In 1995, the world entered the "Age of The Internet".  This
was a technological revolutiuon bigger than the Automobile in the 1920s or even
Computers in the 1960s or 1980s.  The Internet affected everyone.  Via the personal
computer, it was avaialble to everyone.  It was an equalizing force, a cost-lowering
force and a force that quickly seized the imaginations of millions as they considered
its potential in so many new arenas.  In retrospect, how could the market not go up.

The rally that started off 1995 seemed very suspect.  The A/D Line was lagging and
the P-Indicator went negative in February.  But looking at the whole picture,   we see
that the Accumulation Index was steadily positive.   All dips were being bought by
institutions.  That the DJI was going into all-time high territory made the path of least
resistance be UP.  As the internals improved, traders had to switch to the long side
to survive.  But, as often happens, what began, at first, as a painful switch of positions,
soon became extraordinarily profitable.  Then the challenge was to just let profits run. a

msft.png (12508 bytes)

"The "killer application" that transformed the Internet into a global phenomenon was the World Wide Web.
Developed in the late 1980s at the European Center for Nuclear Research (CERN) from research by
Tim Berners-Lee, the Web was initially created to share data on nuclear physics. By using hyperlinks and
graphical "browsing" technology, the Web greatly simplifies the process of searching for, accessing, and
sharing information on the Internet, making it much more accessible to a non-technical audience.

"As the Web's popularity surged among students, researchers and other Internet enthusiasts, an entirely
new industry emerged to create software and content for the Web. This explosion of creativity made
the Web more compelling for users, which encouraged more companies to provide Internet access,
which encouraged still more individuals and businesses to get connected to the Internet. As recently as
1994, there were only 500 fairly modest Web sites worldwid"  ( Bill Gates. )

DATA9495.BMP (1120854 bytes)