1994-1995
We
technicians understandably grow to believe that our world of charts and
technical indicators, supplemented with an understanding of Seasonality and the FED,
is sufficient to predict the stock market. Most of the time it is. But outside
forces do
intrude from time to time. In 1995, the world entered the "Age of The
Internet". This
was a technological revolutiuon bigger than the Automobile in the 1920s or even
Computers in the 1960s or 1980s. The Internet affected everyone. Via the
personal
computer, it was avaialble to everyone. It was an equalizing force, a cost-lowering
force and a force that quickly seized the imaginations of millions as they considered
its potential in so many new arenas. In retrospect, how could the market not go up.
The rally that started off 1995 seemed very suspect. The A/D Line was lagging and
the P-Indicator went negative in February. But looking at the whole picture,
we see
that the Accumulation Index was steadily positive. All dips were being bought
by
institutions. That the DJI was going into all-time high territory made the path of
least
resistance be UP. As the internals improved, traders had to switch to the long side
to survive. But, as often happens, what began, at first, as a painful switch of
positions,
soon became extraordinarily profitable. Then the challenge was to just let profits
run. a

"The "killer application" that transformed the
Internet into a global phenomenon was the World Wide Web.
Developed in the late 1980s at the European Center for Nuclear Research (CERN) from
research by
Tim Berners-Lee, the Web was initially created to share data on nuclear physics. By using
hyperlinks and
graphical "browsing" technology, the Web greatly simplifies the process of
searching for, accessing, and
sharing information on the Internet, making it much more accessible to a non-technical
audience.
"As the Web's popularity surged among students, researchers
and other Internet enthusiasts, an entirely
new industry emerged to create software and content for the Web. This explosion of
creativity made
the Web more compelling for users, which encouraged more companies to provide Internet
access,
which encouraged still more individuals and businesses to get connected to the Internet.
As recently as
1994, there were only 500 fairly modest Web sites worldwid" ( Bill
Gates. )
