1979
For some reason
the FED increased the Discount Rate four times from July to October 1979, not
earlier
in that year. This was similar to 1978 when they raised rates on
five occasions from July to November 1st.
The outcome was the same, a mini-Crash of 11.5% in the DJIA in a month,
compared to a 13.5% deckine in
nine weeks in 1978. In both cases, NYSE breadth deteriorated to
the point where the P-Indicator was negative
as the DJIA made a new high near the upper band after a six-month
rally. The only difference was that the
Accumulation Index was still positive at this pivot point in 1979,
whereas in 1978 it was negative, which added a
small measure of additional bearishness to the situation.
7/29/1979
10.0%
8/17/1979
10.5%
9/19/1979
11.0%
Fed determined to drop the market.
10/8/1979
12.0%



