Buy B18   -   Powerful DJI Upward Momentum
                  Peerless version - 4/23/2014  (C) William Schmidt. Ph.D.


                 The B18 occurs when the P-Indicator has been positive
                 for 41 straight days.  No Buy B18s are allowed in Junes,
                 Julys, Septembers or Novembers.

                 The lowest levels seen in the past for each of the key
                 values will give a good idea of the minimums allowed:

                                                       Lowest                 Highest
                                                       Recorded            Recorded               Observations
                         LA/MA                    
.9785                      1.0316
                         ANN-ROC           
-.048                         1.046
                         P-I                           
14.8                        577.1            
                         P-I change          
-77.2                       158.9
                         Adjusted P-I      
  30.6                         880.4              High Adj. P-Is bring bigger gains.
                         IP21                      
-.034                        .27                    High IP21s bring bigger gains/vice verse
                         V-I                              
1                           377 (est)
                         ObvPct                 
-.068                       .736                  Low ObvPct produce smaller gains.
                         65-day Pct Change 
-.025                .217
                

                 The average gain for the 48 Buy B18s since 1928 was 12.1%.
                 There was but one losses, as the Buy B18 is designed.

                 The biggest average B18 gains came in the mid-term
                 election year (15.4% ) when a Republican was in the White House,
                 not a Democrat and well as in August (27.9%) and October ( 14.1%).
                 The year after the Presidential Election saw the lowest average gain (7.2%).
                 Paper losses were all under 5% with two exceptions, 1954 (4.6%) and
                 2002 (5.4%.).  The average paper loss was 1.1% for all years.

                 
       Size of B18 Gains
       -----------------------
               No.        Pct.of Total
=>.10          20            .417
=>.05 - <.10   8             .167
=>.02 - <.05   16            .333
=>0   - <.02   3             .063
<0             1             .021 
--------------------------------------
Total          48           1.0  (100%)
       It should be noted that Buy B18s have become less powerful over
                 they years.  See how the average trading gains they produced has
                 fallen:

                                                    Buy B18s

                         Years       No.             Avg.Gain      Avg.Paper Loss  
       1928-2013  48       .121     .011
       1965-2013  29       .083     .011   
       1984-2013  21       .0895    .014 
       2000-2014  11       .053     .016
       B18s: 1928-2013
       Number of Trades =  48 
       Avg.Gain         = .121
       Avg.Paper Loss   =  .011
       Avg.LAST/21DMA   =  1.013
       Avg.Ann.Roc.     =  .005
       Avg.PI           =  177.3 
       AVG.PI Change    =  12.5
       AVG.Adj.PI       =  337.6
       AVG.IP21         =  .107  
       AVG.V-I          =  54.7 
       AVG.OBV-Pct      =  .232 
       AVG.65-dPctCh.   =  .088 

       -------------------------
     
BUY B18s since 1928      
BREAKDOWN of BUY B18 TRADES: 1929-2013
=====================================
No.           Date of Buy   Signal    DJI       Pct       Paper
                                                Gain      Loss
=============================================================================
 1            19420805      B18       105.6     .348      none
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 2            19421015      B18       113.3     .257     .002
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 3            19430219      B18       126.7     .124      none
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 4            19430420      B18       128.5     .07       none
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 5            19440103      B18       135.9     .207     .013
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 6            19441016      B18       148.1     .107     .017
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 7            19450214      B18       157.1     .044     .030
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 8            19450511      B18       163.2     .005      none
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 9            19451011      B18       185.7     .073      none
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 10           19451213      B18       193.5     .029     .023
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 11           19490829      B18       177.8     .241      none
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 12           19501013      B18       228.5     .134     .026
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 13           19510110      B18       240.4     .078      none
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 14           19540318      B18       300.1     .561     .012
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 15           19540802      B18       349.6     .34      .042 
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 16           19580801      B18       505.4     .287     .005
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 17           19581003      B18       533.7     .218      none
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 18           19581203      B18       558.8     .164     .005
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 19           19610201      B18       649.3     .08      .019
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 20           19650315      B18       899.9     .043     .013
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 21           19670303      B18       846.6     .048     .006
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 22           19710128      B18       865.14    .084      none
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 23           19710329      B18       903.48    .038      none
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 24           19750305      B18       752.82    .149     .012
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 25           19780530      B18       834.2     .039      none
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 26           19821201      B18      1031.09    .025      none
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 27           19830308      B18      1119.78    .111     .006
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 28           19851220      B18      1543       .183     .026
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 29           19860303      B18      1696.67    .076     .006
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 30           19870310      B18      2280.09    .055     .014
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 31           19910326      B18      2914.85    .039      none
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 32           19930317      B18      3426.74    .021     .016
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 33           19950303      B18      3989.61    .391     .009
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 34           19950525      B18      4412.23    .258     .010
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 35           19950801      B18      4700.37    .181     .025
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 36           19961009      B18      5930.62    .156      none
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 37           19980317      B18      8749.99    .049      none
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 38           20020103      B18     10172.14   -.006      .054  
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 39           20030514      B18      8647.82    .134      .018
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 40           20031217      B18     10145.26    .047      none
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 41           20041221      B18     10759.43    .014     .036
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 42           20060111      B18     11043.44    .048     .034 
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 43           20060315      B18     11209.77    .033      none
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 44           20061005      B18     11866.69    .045      none
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 45           20061204      B18     12283.85    .009      none
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 46           20070518      B18     13556.53    .029     .021
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 47           20130201      B18     14009.79    .083     .016
----------------------------------------------------------------------
 48           20130502      B18     14831.58    .023      none
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Total                       N0.= 48             .120     .011 
        Returns by Size of Gain
        -----------------------
               No.        Pct.of Total
=>.10          20            .417
=>.05 - <.10   8             .167
=>.02 - <.05   16            .333
=>0   - <.02   3             .063
<0             1             .021 
--------------------------------------
Total          48           1.0  (100%)
  
  
        Returns by Year 
        --------------- 
                             No.           Avg.Gain     Pct.of Total
Pres. Election Years         4             .12           .08 
Year after Pres.El.Yr.       11            .072          .23
Mid-Term Election Yr.        17            .154          .35 
Year before Pres.El.Yr.      16            .114          .33 
----------------------------------------------------------------------
              Total          48            .1165         1.0  (100%)
 
         Returns by Month 
         ---------------- 
               No.        Avg.Gain        Pct.of Total
January        5             .082          .104
February       4             .082          .083
March          13            .124          .2711
April          1             .07           .021
May            6             .081          .135
June           0              0             0
July           0              0             0
August         5             .279          .104   
September      0              0             0
October        7             .141          .146
November       0              0             0
December       7             .067          .146
--------------------------------------------------------
Total          48            .1165        1.0  (100%)
   Returns by Day of Month
   -----------------------
               No.         Avg.Gain    Pct.of Total
-------------------------------------------------------
1-10           22            .148          .458
11-20          19            .104          .396
21-31          7             .101          .146
-------------------------------------------------------
Total          48            .1165         1.0  (100%)
   
Key Values of BUY B18s since 1928  

   
No.           Date          Signal        DJI           Pct Gain    Paper Loss
la/ma         annroc        PI            PI-ch         Adj.PI        IP21          
VI            OBVPct        65d PctCh.
=================================================================================
 1            19420805      B18            105.6         .348          none
 .9785        -.1            22.3         -10            113.2         .078
7             .014          .08 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 2            19421015      B18            113.3         .257          .002
 1.027         .736          116.2        -21.3          589.3         .204
93            .542          .042 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 3            19430219      B18            126.7         .124          None
 1.0082        .579          110.2        -4.9           557.6         .215 
106           .385          .089 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 4            19430420      B18            128.5         .07           None
 .9934         .329          174          -17.4          880.4         .081
256           .234          .095 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 5            19440103      B18            135.9         .207          .013
 1.0072        .371          74.4         -17.8          397.2         .069
41            .181         -.025 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 6            19441016      B18            148.1         .107          .017
 1.0083        .422          112.4         7.9           600.1         .124
68            .364         -.015 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 7            19450214      B18            157.1         .044          .030
 1.0187        .178          98.1          31.6          443.4         .116
87            .246          .063 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 8            19450511      B18            163.2         .005          None
 .9947         .341          42.6         -1.6           192.4         .106
 9             .22           .05 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 9            19451011      B18            185.7         .073          None
 1.0249        .441          138.3        -10            625.1         .237  
148           0             .115 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 10           19451213      B18            193.5         .029          .023
 1.0082        .18           64.9         -2.7           293.4         .127 
45            .177          .096 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 11           19490829      B18            177.8         .241          None
 .9919         .126          57.3         -13.4          224.2         .126
53            .074          .034 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 12           19501013      B18            228.5         .134          .026
 1.0055        .267          72.7         -22.8          263.1         .061 
25            .237          .148 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 13           19510110      B18            240.4         .078          None
 1.0272        .699          131.3        -44            399.3         .075 
198           .251          .04 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 14           19540318      B18            300.1         .561          .012
 1.0132        .423          84.5          42.1          283.8         .207
39            .242          .072 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 15           19540802      B18            349.6         .34           .042
1.0219        .541          173.3           8.5          582.4         .207
229           .355          .099 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 16           19580801      B18            505.4         .287          .005
1.0315        .614          111.1          13.7          351.1         .209 
141           .421          .109 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 17           19581003      B18            533.7         .218          None
 1.0174        .462          79.6          21.2          251.6         .064
15            .258          .111 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 18           19581203      B18            558.8         .164          .005
 1.0025        .334          82.9         -.4            261.8         .085
5             .347          .099 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 19           19610201      B18            649.3         .08           .019
 1.0241        .736          197.4         13            574.5         .13
377           .336          .118 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 20           19650315      B18            899.9         .043          .013
 1.0065        .24           100.8         31.1          277.2        -.012
49            .146          .042 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 21           19670303      B18            846.6         .048          .006
.9955        -.025          30.2            5.7           75.9         -.012
6            -.068          .065 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 22           19710128      B18            865.14        .084          None
 1.0211        .326          243.9        -23.4          517           .096
1             .477          .144 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 23           19710329      B18            903.48        .038          None
 1.0027        .326          73.6          19.4          156           .102
1             .271          .098 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 24           19750305      B18            752.82        .149          .012
 1.0316        .677          89.4         -50            169.8         .093 
 1             .18           .217 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 25           19780530      B18            834.2         .039          None
 .9949        -.044          14.8         -14.1          30.6         -.008 
2             .01           .103 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 26           19821201      B18            1031.09       .025          None
 1.0021        .294          122          -9.7           235.4        -.009
1            -.048          .154 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 27           19830308      B18            1119.78       .111          .006
 1.0135        .452          189          -58.2          372.2         .017
 7             .18           .086 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 28           19851220      B18            1543          .183          .026
 1.0309        .828          179.3         27.2          355.1         .065 
13            .193          .189 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 29           19860303      B18            1696.67       .076          .006
 1.0277        1.046         295.9        -9.4           565.1         .27 
19            .315          .165 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 30           19870310      B18            2280.09       .055          .014
 1.0249        .5            35.4          17.3          69.8          .102
4             .266          .175 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 31           19910326      B18            2914.85       .039          None
 1.0001        .11           67.6          10.2          124.4        -.034
2            -.023          .109 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 32           19930317      B18            3426.74       .021          .016
 1.0096        .412          178.2         42.9          304.7         .143
4             .344          .037 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 33           19950303      B18            3989.61       .391          .009
 1.0065        .427          149          -25.5          205.6         .104
6             .346          .067 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 34           19950525      B18            4412.23       .258          .010
 1.0067        .306          133.7        -10            184.5         .127
10            .31           .111 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 35           19950801      B18            4700.37       .181          .025
1.0032        .367          126.1         -54.5          174           .157          
10            .088          .088 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 36           19961009      B18            5930.62       .156          None
 1.0069        .412          167.5        -29.2          214.4         .077
26            .144          .062 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 37           19980317      B18            8749.99       .049          None
1.0253        .531          204            4.9           312.2         .153          
24            .248          .097 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 38           20020103      B18            10172.14     -.006          .054
 1.0168        .487          288.4         79            288.4         .059
10            .299          .151 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 39           20030514      B18            8647.82       .134          .018
1.018         .417          577.1         -77.2          558.1         .137
141          -.029          .092 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 40           20031217      B18            10145.26      .047          None
1.0282        .525          388            90.1          375.2         .048      
 9             .302          .06 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 41           20041221      B18            10759.43      .014          .036
1.0175        .341          355.4          136.7         332.6         .134
49            .319          .054 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 42           20060111      B18            11043.44      .048          .034
 1.0163        .291          358.7        -14            330.3         .034 
57            .122          .073 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 43           20060315      B18            11209.77      .033          None
1.0134        .342          291.1         90            268.1         .093          
21            .064          .042 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 44           20061005      B18            11866.69      .045          None
1.0236        .474          326.3         149.3         300.5         .115          
24            .302          .064 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 45           20061204      B18            12283.85      .009          None
1.0064        .259          531.9         101           489.8         .113          
90            .352          .079 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 46           20070518      B18            13556.53      .029          .021
1.0246        .675          157.5         82            141.9         .143          
44            .538          .064 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 47           20130201      B18            14009.79      .083          .016
1.0268        .522          454.1        -43            454.1         .198          
37            .334          .069 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 48           20130502      B18            14831.58      .023          None
1.0092        .228          435.7         158.9         435.7         .127          
17            .28           .063 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
B18s: 1928-2013
Number of Trades =  48 
Avg.Gain         = .121
Avg.Paper Loss   =  .011
Avg.LAST/21DMA   =  1.013
Avg.Ann.Roc.     =  .005
Avg.PI           =  177.3 
AVG.PI Change    =  12.5
AVG.Adj.PI       =  337.6
AVG.IP21         =  .107  
AVG.V-I          =  54.7 
AVG.OBV-Pct      =  .232 
AVG.65-dPctCh.   =  .088 
--------------------------------
B18s: 1985-2013
Number of Trades =  29 
Avg.Gain         =  .083 
Avg.Paper Loss   =  .011 
Avg.LAST/21DMA   =  1.014 
Avg.Ann.Roc.     =  .008
Avg.PI           =  226.4
AVG.PI Change    =  21.6 
AVG.Adj.PI       =  286.8 
AVG.IP21         =  .091
AVG.V-I          =  23.6 
AVG.OBV-Pct      =  .216
AVG.65-dPctCh.   =  .097
------------------------------
B18s: 1983-2013
Number of Trades =  21 
Avg.Gain         =  .0895 
Avg.Paper Loss   =  .014 
Avg.LAST/21DMA   =  .101 
Avg.Ann.Roc.     =  .011 
Avg.PI           =  271.5
AVG.PI Change    =  34.6 
AVG.Adj.PI       =  308.8
AVG.IP21         =  .113
AVG.V-I          =  29.4
AVG.OBV-Pct      =  .244
AVG.65-dPctCh.   =  .091 
---------------------------------------
Number of Trades =  11 
Avg.Gain         =  .043  
Avg.Paper Loss   =  .016 
Avg.LAST/21DMA   =  1.018 
Avg.Ann.Roc.     =  .021 
Avg.PI           =  378.6
AVG.PI Change    =  68.4 
AVG.Adj.PI       =  361.3 
AVG.IP21         =  .109 
AVG.V-I          =  45.4
AVG.OBV-Pct      =  .262 
AVG.65-dPctCh.   =  .073  


                              
================================================================================
         2012 Version of Peerless Buy B18
         (C) 2013  William Schmidt, Ph.D.  All rights reserved.
                                       www.tigersoft.com   2/5/2013   

         The B18 occurs when the P-Indicator has been positive for 41 straight days.
         The OBV-Pct must be at least .152.   The V-Indicator should be above zero.
         There are times in th four year cycle when buying on strength is too risky
         and so these signals are not allowed in Junes, Julys and Septembers.  Momentum
         strength cannot be trusted in Deceember after the 23rd.  During a Presidential
         Election Year, no B18s are allowed except in January, November and December.
         Though allowed, be careful about using the B18 when Peerless is already on a
         Buy and the DJI is more than 2.4% over the 21-dma.

        New research shows that Peerless Buys are apt to be unproductive in the first
        year after a Presidential Election if a Republican is in the White House
        and quite profitable if a Democrat is in the White House.   There
        were 5 profitable B18s in the post-Presidential Election Year.  A Democrat
        was in the White House in all cases.    

                                     Year after Presidential Election Year

                          Party in                  Date         B18 Gain    B18 Paper          Comments
                          White House                                              Loss                     LA/MA
        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Dem                        2/5/45     +5.5%         <2%                        only 1.008
                          Dem                        4/25/45       +.0.1%        <1%                    1.032 (high)
                          Dem                        12/11/45   +6.8%         3.6%                     1.025
                          Dem                        2/1/61       +10.2%       <2%                       1.021
                          Dem                        8/26/93    +8.8%          3.0%                      1.017

                        
                     A Democrat is the White House produced much smaller gains
                    on Peerless Buys in the second year after a Presidential Election
                    than Republicans.  This was clearly the case for B18s. 


                                      Two Years after Presidential Election Year
                          Rep                         3/18/54    +58.3%        1.5%                      1.013   Reversing B18.
                          Rep                         8/2/54       +34.9%        3.9%                      1.022
                          Rep                         8/1/58       +28.7%        <.5%                       1.032   (high)
                          Rep                         12/3/58     +16.4%        0                              1.003   
                          Rep                         10/26/82   +5.1%         1.4%                        1.031 (high) 
                          Rep                          3/3/86       +7.6%         0%                           1.028
                         
(Dem                        3/17/98     +3.8%        0                               1.025)
                          Rep                          1/3/02       -0.6%           4.2%                       1.017
                          Rep                          1/27/06     +6.1%        1.5%                        1.005
                          Rep                           4/4/06       +3.3%        1.2%                        1.003
                          Rep                           10/5/06     +4.5%        0                                1.024
                         
(Dem                        4/21/10    -6.4%           0                               1.014)
                   
        

         Buy B18s have become weaker since 2000.   Chasing momentum has become
         less effective.  As such, the signals are mainly used now to show that breadth
         has been persistently positive and, in case Peerless was somehow still
         on a Sell, that we would switch to a Buy.


wpe191.jpg (66172 bytes)

There have been 43 Buy B18s since 1928.  As a group, B18s averaged
+10.5% gain per trade.  17 of the gains were more than 10%, 12 were between
5% and 10%.  In 11 cases, the gains were less than 5%.   There were 3 losses,
all occurring since 2000.  The biggest loss was 6.4%.  This occurred in April 2010
and could easily have been avoided by heeding the dangers inherent in a completed
head/shpulders pattern.

The average B18 gain was only +2.3% in the 12 cases since 2000.  There has
not been a 10% gain among B18s since 1996.  In additon, the two biggest paper
losses occurred in 2010 (11.8%) and 2011 (5.7%)

8 of the 43 Buy B18s brought a paper loss of 3% or more.  The best way to
avoid a bigger paper loss with these signals is to not chase and to wait for
a dip when they occurred more than 1.7% over the 21-day ma, unless they serve to
reverse a Peerless Sell signal, which is rare.  25 of 43 B19s occurred with
DJI more than 1.7% over the 21-day ma,  8 of these brought paper losses
of more than 2%.

Nearly all the B18s were are not reversing Buys.  Rather, they usually reinforce
an already operative Peerless Buy.   They usually are a sign of a healthy bull market.
It is significant that there were no cases in the bear market years from 1929 to 1941.

There were 2 cases where they reversed an existing Peerless Sell.  They
were important to employ, because the market in each case went significantly
higher.

   3/18/1954          300.1     +58.3%        Paper Loss = 1.5%
  
LA/MA             ROC              P-I         P-ch       IP21         V-I          OPct
    1.013      .423          84      42     .207      39     .253

Fell back to 295.40 and the 21-dma and rallied powerfully to 475.
===> This was a reversing Buy
.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


33)
  11/3/2003         9858.46      +8.9%   Paper loss  =   - 2.3%  
   
LA/MA            ROC           P-I           P-ch          IP21           V-I            OPct
   1.015         .351  317        11       .103
      2        .228
   Fell back to 9629 and then rallied.
===>   This was a reversing Buy signal.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


  Buy B18s in a Presidential Election year were rare and less bullish.
   10/16/1944     +10.7%
   10/18/1996     +12.1%
   1/2/2004           +3.1%
   12/1/2004        +2.5%
                      Avg = 7.7%     

   B18s in the year after a second year of a Presidential cycle (1942, 1946...) produced
   an average gain of +13.7% in the 14 cases. There was only one loss. These are generally
   the strongest Buy B18s, provided the V-Indicator is above +7.

   Bull markets often have seen these Buy signals at an early stage.  Sustained
very good breadth is very bullish.  Examples at the start of the
best bull markets: 1942-1944, 1949, 1954, 1958, 1985, 1995-1996
and 2003. Very often there is more than one B18 signal in an
upswing.  The first brings the highest gains.

   If we include the cases where the V-Indicator was 0-7, there 
in 36 of the 61 cases there was an immediate rally after the Buy B18.
In 25 cases there would have been a paper loss after the Buy B18.
There were only 3 instances of paper losses of more than 5%.  Continued
good breadth is the best safeguard against a "bad Buy B18" if the
DJI is already up more than 10% from its 4 month lows.  Given the
average gain of 10% and the 36/61 probability of there being very little
or no paper loss, in most cases, these should be treated as automatic
Buys.  But be careful if the V-Indicator is below 10 and/or if a bearish
head and shoulders or hands above the head price pattern develops. 
Also, as a working hypothesis, the key Peerless indicators (P-Indicator, IP21and OP)
should be higher than say 12, .10 and .06, respectively. 

Buy B18s in a Presidential Election year were sometimes problematic
if they were allowed.  if allowed, they would have meant chasing a rally and
buying at the upper band on
    10/16/1944  148.10
     3/4/1988  2057.86  -1.1% 
and were not needed when the market was exceptionally strong in
a Presidential Election Year, as Peerless was already on a Buy.
   2/4/1972  +4.0% if allowed
   3/3/1976  +3.1% if allowed
   8/1/1980  +3.3% if allowed
   2/15/96    0 gain if allowed.
   1/2/2004  +3.1% if allowed
It is probably best for the overall system if users discard B18s from February through
September in a Presidential Election Year.


                             V-Indicator Needs to be above +7.

Readings by the V-Indicator of +7 are lower tend to bring smaller gains. 
In these 17 cases, the average gain was only 3.6%.  There was one other
case were a B18 reached +7: this did gain 36.8% on 3/3/95, but this was clearly
not a good point to sell, given the classic flat topped breakout into all-time
high territory.  The Peerless program has been adjusted to disallow Buy B18s
when the V-Indicator is 7 or lower.  You can see further below the cases of B18s that
are eliminated because the V-Indicator was not positive enough.   They are indented
and marked with an "X"


                                                           3 Bad Buy B18s.

                    The March 2013 version of Peerless eliminated each of these
                    by changing the P-I and OPct requirements.

1)                         9/ 20/ 1951                  274.1          Gain= 0
la/ma=1.01    ma.roc= .387  98   P= 11 (LOW)  IP21=.141  V= .65   OP=.053 (LOW)
Note development of bearish hands above the head price pattern in chart for this period just below. 
Paper loss of 7%.  DJI fell to 256 in November and then rallied back.
wpe191.jpg (67955 bytes)

               2)     3 / 7 / 1997                 7000.89       -.024
la/ma=1.009     ma.roc= .437  P= 11 (
LOW) 137   IP21= .114   V=11  OP= .137 (LOW)
Fell to 6386 (8%)
before strongly rallying
wpe193.jpg (69763 bytes)


          3)   8 / 1 / 1997                 8194.04       -.002
la/ma=1.021      ma.roc= .593  P=234   IP21=   .089 (low)     V=16  OP= .301
The DJI was already up more than 20% from 4 month low.
Fell to 7600 (6% paper loss)
before rallying back to the upper band.
wpe194.jpg (69425 bytes)


The Requirements:  Peerless P-Indicator has been positive 42 straight
days and the V-Indicator is
above +7 with the DJI not more than
3.9% over the 21-day ma.  The signal is not allowed in June or July
and is not allowed in Januaries the year before a Presidential Election.

wpe15E.jpg (67327 bytes)
             ---Buy B18 Cases, Key Values and Outcomes-- 

1928-1941  no cases


1942-2009 
  Date of B18                 DJI           Gain
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------[-----------------------       
 1)   10 /15 /1942              113.3     +25.2%       No Paper Loss
   LA/MA     ROC        P-I        P-ch      IP21        V-I         OPct
  1.027  .736   116    -22     .204    93     .532
   high
  Up strongly immediately. There had already been numerous Sells. 
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 2)   2/19/1943               126.7    +11.9%        No Paper Loss
     LA/MA     ROC        P-I        P-ch          IP21         V-I        OPct
    1.008  .579    110      -5       .215     106  .358
  at 21-day ma
  Up strongly immediately.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------[-----------------------  
 3)   4/20/1943               133.1     +6.5%     No Paper Loss
    LA/MA     ROC        P-I        P-ch            IP21        V-I           OPct
    .993   .329    174    -18        .081    246     .247 
   at 21-day ms                                      
    Up immediately.
wpeD.jpg (45709 bytes)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------[-----------------------       
 4)  1/3/1944               135.9      +8.8%      Paper Loss = 1% 
    LA/MA     ROC        P-I        P-ch      P^^         IP21        V-I           OPct
   1.007  .371      74    -18    +397   .069     41      .212
    Up immediately.
wpeF.jpg (50497 bytes)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------[-----------------------  
 5)  10 / 16 / 1944              148.1    +10.7%   Paper Loss = 1.6%
     LA/MA      ROC        P-I        P-ch      IP21        V-I           OPct
    1.008   .422  112       7      .124    68      .236 
 DJI hesitated for 1 month. Fell back to 145.66 before rallying. 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------[-----------------------  
 6)  2/5/1945                 155.4       + 5.5%    Paper Loss  = 1.7%
   LA/MA      ROC        P-I        P-ch      IP21        V-I           OPct
   1.009   .108   73      16      .14      27      .188
DJI hesitated for 1 month. Fell back to 152.8 before rallying. 
Note the false head and shouders pattern in February and March 1945.
The fact that the P-Indicator and Accum. Index were very positive
was the alert that it might fail.  Surpassing the right shoulder's apex
launches prices here.  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 7)    4 / 25 / 1945                163.90      +0.1%  Paper Loss  <1%
     LA/MA      ROC           P-I        P-ch       IP21        V-I           OPct
    1.032    .873     173      30    .193   188      .526
     high
Rallied immediately to a sell at upper band in two months. 
The DJI is already 3.2% above the21-day ma here.  A retreat
has to be considered a better buy.
 
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 8)  12/11/1945              195.8        +6.8%    Paper Loss = 3.6%  
    LA/MA      ROC           P-I        P-ch       IP21        V-I           OPct
    1.025  .441      138     -11    .237    148    -.001
     too high  
DJI fell immediately to 185.80 and then rallied. 
DJI was already up a long ways when B18 occurred.  It was best to wait
for a decline at least to the 21-day ma.  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 
 9)  10 / 2 / 1950               228.9        +1.1%       Paper Loss < 1%
      LA/MA          ROC           P-I        P-ch       IP21        V-I           OPct
      1.024     .253      87       4       .08       53      .181 
     too high
wpe11.jpg (49083 bytes)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 10)    1/10/1951               240.4        +14.4%      No Paper Loss
    LA/MA          ROC           P-I        P-ch       IP21        V-I           OPct
    1.027     .699       131   -45     .075   198     .212
     high
Up 10% over next 4 months.
wpe13.jpg (55654 bytes)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 11)      3/18/1954         300.1     +58.3%        Paper Loss = 1.5%
    LA/MA            ROC             P-I        P-ch       IP21        V-I         OPct
    1.013      .423         84      42    .207      39     .253
Fell back to 295.40 and the 21-dma and rallied powerfully to 475. 
===> This was a reversing Buy.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 12)     8 / 2 / 1954        349.6     +35.9%        Paper Loss = 3.9%
    LA/MA            ROC             P-I        P-ch       IP21        V-I           OPct
    1.022      .541        173      8      .207     229    .304
     high
Up strongly after test of 65-dma and 335.8
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 13)    8 / 1 / 1958           505.4   +28.7%       Paper Loss = 0.53%
   LA/MA            ROC             P-I        P-ch       IP21        V-I           OPct
   1.032      .614         111    13     .209     141      .43
    high
Up strongly after re-testing rising 21-day ma at 502.70 on 8/18/1958.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 14)  10 / 3 / 1958          533.70     +21.8%    No Paper Loss
    LA/MA          ROC             P-I        P-ch       IP21        V-I           OPct
   1.017      .462         79      21    .064     15         .25
Up strongly.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 15 ) 12 / 3 / 1958           558.8      +16.4%    No Paper Loss
    LA/MA          ROC             P-I        P-ch       IP21        V-I           OPct
   1.003      .334         82     -1       .085    5         .337
Up strongly.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
16 )  2/1/1961                649.3      +10.2%   Paper Loss = 1.9%
    LA/MA          ROC             P-I        P-ch       IP21        V-I           OPct
  1.024      .736         197   13      .13      377      .324
   high
 10 day decline to 637 at 21-dma  and then rally to 705 in 3 months.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
17 )   1/28 /1971          865.14      +9.4%      No Paper Loss  
    LA/MA          ROC             P-I        P-ch       IP21          V-I           OPct
  1.021      .326         243   -24      .096      1        .464
   high
  DJI rallied immediately, then fell to 21-dma  and then rallied to new highs.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 18 )   3/5/1975             752.82      +16.6%       Paper Loss = 1.2%
   LA/MA          ROC             P-I        P-ch       IP21          V-I           OPct                  
    1.032     .677        89       -50   .093       1        .175
   very high
   DJI fell to just above the lower band and then rallied strongly. 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------               
 19 )   5/12/1978            840.7      +3.1%       No Paper Loss         
   LA/MA          ROC             P-I          P-ch       IP21          V-I           OPct                  
    1.02      .949       182       -6   - .001       7        .324
   DJI rallied  to upper band sell.  
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------                                
 20) 10/26/1982       1006.07    +5.1%       Paper Loss  =  1.4%
   LA/MA           ROC             P-I          P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct                  
    1.031     1.043      237     -10     .118       13        .174
    very high
   DJI fell to 21-dma and rallied to upper band sell.  
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 21)  3/8/1983           1119.78    +11.1%           Insignificant Paper Loss       
   LA/MA           ROC           P-I          P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct                  
    1.013      .452     188     -59       .017      7        .174
   DJI fell to 1113.49 and rallied past upper band.  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 22) 12/20/1985       1543         +18.3%        Paper Loss  = 2.6%
   LA/MA           ROC           P-I          P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct  
   1.031     .828       179     27       .065       13      .185
   very high
  DJI retested 1502 needed for a month.  Then rally resumes.
 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 23)   3/3/1986         1696.67      +7.6%     Insignificant Paper Loss       
    LA/MA           ROC           P-I          P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct  
    1.028      1.046   295     -10         .27        19     .305
   very high
   DJI fell to 1686.66 and rallied past the upper band. 
 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 24)   3/10/1987         2280.09     + 5.5%    Paper Loss  = 1.4%
     LA/MA           ROC          P-I          P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct  
    1.025       .50         35       17      .102       +4      .257
      high
   DJI fell to  2248.44 and rallied to upper band.  
 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   
 25)  4/18/1991         2999.26     +10.2%  Paper Loss  = 4.5%
     LA/MA           ROC          P-I          P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct  
    1.029       .538      183      22      .02        11      .232
    very high
    DJI fell to  2865.38 and rallied to upper band.  
 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------     
 26)    2/1/1993          3332.18    +19.1%    Insignificant Paper Loss   
     LA/MA           ROC          P-I         P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct  
    1.016      .113     154       4       .023        3        .202 
    DJI fell to 3312.19 and rallied steadily or 10 months.
 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   
 27)    8/26/1993        3648.17      +8.8%              Paper Loss =  3.0%
    LA/MA           ROC          P-I         P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct  
   1.017      .315     161       7        .089       11      .334
   Fell to 3537 at rising 65-dma  and then rallied for 4 months. 
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 28)  3/3/1995        3989.61        36.8%              Paper Loss =    0.7%
    LA/MA           ROC          P-I         P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct  
   1.007      .427      149    -26      .104        6      .333
   Fell to 3962.63 at rising 65-dma  and then rallied for 4 months. 
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 29)  5/25/1995        4412.23       +23.7%           Paper Loss =   1.0%
     LA/MA           ROC          P-I         P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct 
     1.007      .306     133    -10   .127   v=10  .299
    Fell to 4369.00 at rising 21-dma  and then rallied.
 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
  30). 10/18/1996       6094.23      +12.1%              Paper Loss = 1.4%
     LA/MA           ROC          P-I         P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct 
     1.025      .454     157      20      .104      13      .227
     high
    Fell to 6007.02 at rising 21-dma  and then rallied.
 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
  31)   3/17/1998         8749.99       +3.8%     No paper loss
      LA/MA           ROC          P-I          P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct 
      1.025     .531     204        4      .153      24        .238
     high
    Immediately rallied, which lasted 6 weeks.
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  32)   1/3/2002            10172.14     loss = 0.6%         Paper loss =  4.2%
      LA/MA           ROC          P-I          P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct 
    1.017        .487     288       78      .059      10        .256
     high
   Fell to 9744.24 and then rallied to upper band and Sell S9. 
 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
   33)   11/3/2003        9858.46      +8.9%   Paper loss  - 2.3%   
     LA/MA           ROC          P-I          P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct 
    1.015         .351  317       11       .103       2        .228
   Fell back to 9629 and then rallied.
   ===> This was a reversing Buy signal. 
 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
   34) 1/2/2004                  10409.95     +3.1%      No Paper Loss    
     LA/MA           ROC          P-I            P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct 
   1.024         .653     425       13      .107       44     .341
     high
Immediately rallied.
 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
  35) 12/1/2004                  10590.22   +2.5%       No Paper Loss    
     LA/MA            ROC          P-I            P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct 
    1.015        .613     518       33       .067      145     .309 
Immediately rallied.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  36)    8/1/2005                10623.15      -3.2%    Paper Loss = 3.8%  
     LA/MA            ROC          P-I            P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct 
    1.007        .394     385       25       .057      37       .237
Fell back to 10200 (4% paper loss) and then rallied strongly.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  37)   1/27/2006              10907/21       +6.1%    Paper Loss = 1.5%  
     LA/MA            ROC          P-I            P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct            
    1.005        .142     487       108      .079     83      .196
Fell back to 10750 and then rallied strongly for 4 months.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
   38)   4/4/2006               11203.85     +3.3%          Paper Loss = 1.2%  
    LA/MA            ROC          P-I          P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct  
    1.003       .262     204      88       -.02        4      .172
Fell back to 11073 and then rallied to Sell S9 at the upper band. 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  39)   10/5/2006        11866.69     +4.5%     No paper loss
      LA/MA            ROC          P-I          P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct 
    1.024         .474     326     149     .115       24   .289
    Rallied immediately.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  40)   12/4/2006        12283.85    +0.9%   No paper loss
      LA/MA            ROC          P-I          P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct 
    1.006         .259     53`     101     .113        90   . 336
   Rallied immediately.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 41)     5/18/2007               13556.53     + .031   Paper loss = 2.2%
     LA/MA            ROC          P-I          P-ch         IP21          V-I           OPct 
    1.025        .675    157       82      .143      44      .514
Fell back to 13263 and then rallied for a month to Sell. 
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
  42)   4/21/2010               11124.92     Loss =  -6.4%    Paper loss = 11.8%
     LA/MA            ROC          P-I          P-ch         IP21          V-I                          OPct 
    1.014         .368    317     -27      .095        4 (LOW)     .439  
   Fell back to 9816.49 and then rallied to upper band. 
   Note that prices had reached rising resistance line.
   This was far from being a reversing Buy.  And a head/shoulderspattern appeared.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
   43)   2/17/ 2011              12318.14     +4.0%  Paper loss = 5.7%
     LA/MA            ROC          P-I          P-ch         IP21          V-I            OPct 
    1.019         .486    398     115      .218       32       .385 
   At top of price channel.  A pullback was expected.
 DJI fell back to 11613.30 and then rallied to upper band. 
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
   44)   2/1/ 2013              14009.79    Not closed out yet.  +?%  Paper loss = 
     LA/MA            ROC          P-I          P-ch         IP21          V-I            OPct 
    1.027         .522    454      -43      .198       37       .316 
   At top of price channel. and challenging 2007 high. 

========================================================== 
                                          Avg. Gain about 9%

  Not yet cl