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July 29, 2009
1965-2008, the DJI has risen these percentages of the time:
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56% after the next 3 trading days. Avg Gain = +0.3%
49% after the next 5 trading days. Avg Gain = +0.0%
54% after the next 10 trading days. Avg Gain = +0.3%
56% after the next 21-trading. Avg Gain = +0.2%
59% after the next 2 months Avg Gain = -0.4%
51% after the next 3 months Avg Gain = -0.4%
OTHERs' SEASONAL CHARTS
To demonstrate the limitations of cycles, note how little the chart below would have
prepared you for the dire decline after June in 2008.
DJI - 1954-1984
DJI 1985-2001
Gold
Wheat
